Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.289105 0.338249 0.390191 0.448892 0.513107 0.580950 0.657774
2025-02-02 0.223565 0.291115 0.367231 0.458190 0.562798 0.678275 0.814331
2025-02-09 0.168798 0.245309 0.337155 0.452760 0.591712 0.750886 0.944547
2025-02-16 0.133597 0.216062 0.321118 0.459578 0.632336 0.836283 1.090780
2025-02-23 0.102902 0.186615 0.300007 0.456327 0.658308 0.903341 1.215999
2025-03-02 0.074223 0.153948 0.269645 0.436939 0.660929 0.940051 1.303911
2025-03-09 0.058914 0.137833 0.259347 0.442006 0.693465 1.013274 1.436859
2025-03-16 0.043550 0.117856 0.240371 0.432538 0.704984 1.058843 1.535128
2025-03-23 0.036972 0.111812 0.241532 0.451114 0.754207 1.153370 1.696281
2025-03-30 0.028397 0.099522 0.230881 0.450882 0.776585 1.212477 1.812471
2025-04-06 0.021849 0.089381 0.222244 0.452488 0.800793 1.273749 1.931731
2025-04-13 0.017612 0.083140 0.219437 0.462510 0.836789 1.350999 2.072468
2025-04-20 0.014480 0.078814 0.219866 0.478075 0.881968 1.442590 2.234995
2025-04-27 0.011788 0.074657 0.220035 0.493017 0.926476 1.533978 2.398568
2025-05-04 0.008287 0.066065 0.210187 0.490338 0.944138 1.588241 2.513126
2025-05-11 0.006266 0.061298 0.207416 0.499283 0.979351 1.667287 2.661726
2025-05-18 0.004151 0.054277 0.198625 0.496861 0.996588 1.720925 2.776293
2025-05-25 0.002081 0.044248 0.180985 0.476920 0.985198 1.733039 2.833856
2025-06-01 0.001323 0.040481 0.177530 0.482615 1.014306 1.803422 2.971849
2025-06-08 0.000579 0.034235 0.166410 0.472770 1.017672 1.836133 3.057778
2025-06-15 0.000416 0.033681 0.170495 0.492565 1.069819 1.940745 3.244563
2025-06-22 0.000163 0.029902 0.164740 0.492383 1.088740 1.996500 3.363463
2025-06-29 0.000047 0.026779 0.160169 0.494121 1.110653 2.056732 3.488986